Wake Forest
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
169  Samantha Jones JR 20:18
280  Kathleen Darling JR 20:34
291  Catherine Allen FR 20:36
643  Ellie Abrahamson SO 21:07
1,020  Kaitlyn Oliver SR 21:34
1,067  Chandler Borton SO 21:38
1,180  Kathryn Lazarchick SO 21:45
1,511  Gabrielle Merritt SO 22:05
1,567  Aubrey Waggoner SR 22:07
1,831  Tara Richardson SR 22:24
1,886  Sarah Fahmy SO 22:28
1,988  Ashley Brubaker JR 22:33
2,045  Kendal Knous JR 22:37
National Rank #63 of 341
Southeast Region Rank #8 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 4.1%
Top 10 in Regional 87.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Samantha Jones Kathleen Darling Catherine Allen Ellie Abrahamson Kaitlyn Oliver Chandler Borton Kathryn Lazarchick Gabrielle Merritt Aubrey Waggoner Tara Richardson Sarah Fahmy
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/26 796 20:02 20:23 20:16 21:10 21:27 22:25 21:58 21:40
Upstate Invitational 10/04 1249 21:49 21:39 22:11 22:23 22:10
Royals XC Challenge 10/11 935 20:24 20:27 20:52 21:02 21:36 21:29 21:20 22:10 22:04 22:51
Blue Ridge Open Meet 10/17 1051 20:32 20:45 21:08 21:31 21:34 23:04 22:04 22:16 22:22
ACC Championships 10/31 937 20:20 20:44 20:32 21:09 21:36 21:44 21:37 21:59 22:27 22:32
Southeast Region Championships 11/14 983 20:33 20:46 20:37 21:08 21:40 21:32 21:27





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 24.0 558 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 8.3 269 0.2 3.9 14.3 18.7 19.8 18.3 12.3 7.0 3.3 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samantha Jones 20.5% 114.0 0.0
Kathleen Darling 2.0% 145.8
Catherine Allen 1.5% 146.2
Ellie Abrahamson 0.1% 196.5
Kaitlyn Oliver 0.1% 243.5
Chandler Borton 0.1% 237.5
Kathryn Lazarchick 0.1% 248.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samantha Jones 20.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.4 2.1 2.5 2.9 2.8 3.7 4.0 3.9 4.3 4.6 4.6 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.1 3.8 3.3 3.3
Kathleen Darling 35.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.7 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.5
Catherine Allen 37.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.3
Ellie Abrahamson 71.1 0.0 0.0
Kaitlyn Oliver 107.1
Chandler Borton 111.4
Kathryn Lazarchick 122.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.2% 30.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4
5 3.9% 3.9 5
6 14.3% 14.3 6
7 18.7% 18.7 7
8 19.8% 19.8 8
9 18.3% 18.3 9
10 12.3% 12.3 10
11 7.0% 7.0 11
12 3.3% 3.3 12
13 1.6% 1.6 13
14 0.4% 0.4 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 0.0% 0.0 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Auburn 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Furman 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0